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                                                                                                                                                                          澳门龙虎斗游戏:本周不锈钢价格小幅下跌0.09%(4.8-4.12)

                                                                                                                                                                          2019-04-13 21:40 沙河市资讯中心

                                                                                                                                                                            一、行情走势

                                                                                                                                                                            1、不锈钢走势

                                                                                                                                                                            据生意社价格监测,截止4月12日,304/2B不锈钢平板1.0*1219*2438(公差0.91)的日均价为13380.71元/吨(含税),较8日的13392.76元/吨(含税)小幅下调0.09%。

                                                                                                                                                                            2、上游镍走势

                                                                                                                                                                            据生意社镍价格监测,本周镍震荡下跌,4月12日镍现货价格101733.33元/吨,较周初的103850元/吨下跌2.04%。

                                                                                                                                                                            二、影响因素分析

                                                                                                                                                                            产业链:通过对比发现,今年以来不锈钢和现货镍最高点都在3月初的同一时间点,镍价一般是不锈钢价格的风向标,但是,最高点以后,不锈钢的下跌速度却远超过上游镍的速,镍价则是一直比较坚挺,在高位震荡为主。上游镍决定了不锈钢的成本价,但是,不锈钢下降速度过快,表明不锈钢的需求很弱,价格难以支撑。

                                                                                                                                                                            钢厂调价:无锡酒钢本周(4.10-4.16)周盘价:304冷轧切边基价环比持平报14800元/吨;430冷轧基价环比持平报8350元/吨。宁波宝新2019年1月份出厂盘价(含税价):304冷轧14900元/吨,环比2018年12下调700元/吨;430冷轧9800元/吨,环比2018年12月下调100元/吨。

                                                                                                                                                                            宏观:“根据今年两会上传出的消息可大致判断,目前房地产税正处于立法前期准备阶段,基本草案已起草完成,正在完善论证之中。”如是金融研究院首席研究员朱振鑫对《证券日报》记者表示,国务院确定有关部门按职责分工配合做好工作,房地产税法草案完善或将提速。

                                                                                                                                                                            三、后市预测

                                                                                                                                                                            下游的不锈钢需求在消费旺季表现不如预期,无锡、佛山两地库存节后持续增加。整个产业链供应增加需求不振的格局明显。前期基本面已经转弱的镍价持续高位震荡,其原因主要是受中国商务部对不锈钢反倾销调查及镍低库存的支撑影响,但是,预计对镍后市的支撑力量渐弱,如若需求仍然无法提振,不锈钢市场短期仍难有起色。